http://www.slate.com/articles/sports/sports_nut/2015/06/golden_state_warriors_championship_a_new_formula_for_predicting_lead_changes.html

As a Bay Area native, I’ve been following the Golden State Warriors since the end of the Run TMC era of Tim Hardaway, Mitch Richmond, and Chris Mullin in the late 1980s and early 1990s. Over most of the last two decades, the Warriors have been plain lousy—and it seemed they always would be. Even as they became a playoff team in the past couple of seasons, not many imagined they would be a bona fide championship contender.